UN Weather Agency Warns of Imminent El Niño, Signals Surge in Extreme Weather Risks
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has warned that El Niño conditions are likely to develop in the coming months, raising concerns over an increase in extreme weather events worldwide.
In its latest update, the UN weather agency indicated a high probability that the climate phenomenon will emerge between June and August 2026, with strong chances of persisting through the latter part of the year.
El Niño, which is driven by warming ocean temperatures in the tropical Pacific, is known to disrupt established weather patterns. Its effects often include intensified rainfall and flooding in some regions, alongside drought and prolonged heat in others.
Recent observations show a steady rise in both surface and subsurface ocean temperatures, creating favourable conditions for the phenomenon. Atmospheric indicators linked to El Niño have also begun to reflect early signs of its development.
Climate experts warn that the return of El Niño could compound the effects of global warming, pushing temperatures higher and increasing the frequency and severity of climate-related hazards.
The agency has urged governments and relevant sectors to take early action in preparation for possible impacts. Areas such as agriculture, water resources, health, and energy are considered particularly vulnerable to shifting weather conditions.
Forecasts suggest that while some regions may experience above-normal rainfall and flooding risks, others could face drier conditions, potentially affecting food production and livelihoods.
The organization emphasized the importance of strengthening early warning systems and preparedness strategies to reduce potential losses and protect vulnerable populations.
It added that continuous monitoring of oceanic and atmospheric changes will guide further updates as the situation develops.
